Corp Race (Short Term) - Week Five

OKLA. CITY – Many are still undecided in both Corporation Commission races but married men are more likely to vote for Gary and single men for Cloud.

TvPoll.com conducted the scientific study using an IVR technique of 801 likely voters in Oklahoma October 4-5, 2008. The study has a margin of error of ± 3.46% and was weighted by sex, age, congressional district and political party.

TvPoll.com tested two Corporation Commission races in Week 5. In the short-term race between Dana Murphy (R) and Jim Roth (D), the Republican remains in the lead; this week by a mere 4 points, just outside the margin of error.

In the long-term race between Jeff Cloud (R) and Charles Gray (D), the Republican, again, holds the lead by 5 points. In fact, the Republican candidate has consistently held the lead since Week 1 in each of the four races tested, a common coat-tail effect seen in an election with a President at the top of the ballot.

Despite a tightening race between Murphy and Roth, the campaigning efforts of the Republican and incumbent candidate, Cloud, in the long-term Corporation Commission race may trickle down to help the Republican candidate, Murphy, in the short-term race.

As noted in previous weeks, voters continue to stay within party lines and the chunk (29% of voters) of undecided voters are largely Independent.

Murphy finds most of her support from voters who are self-employed or own a business, are college educated, are married men and who attend church often.

Roth finds most of his support from voters who are retired, are single men, do not attend church and who earn an annual household income under $40,000.

Those respondents who plan on voting for Murphy were slightly more likely to oppose the recent $700 billion legislation that bailed out indebted corporations.

TvPoll.com will continue the weekly tracking poll in Oklahoma through the election for its media client, News9 (CBS-Oklahoma City).

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